What Candidates Should Expect in Express Entry for Q4 2024: Key Insights and Trends
As the final quarter of 2024 approaches, the Express Entry system remains one of the most crucial pathways for individuals seeking permanent residency in Canada. This year has seen substantial changes and activity within the system, with new trends emerging and influencing the immigration landscape. As we enter the last three months, the question on many candidates’ minds is what to expect in the remainder of 2024. With developments around draw sizes, CRS score trends, and targeted applicants, Q4 will be a significant period for potential immigrants.
At Pelican Migration Consultants, we understand that navigating the Express Entry system can be complex, and staying up to date on the latest trends is vital. As immigration specialists, we are committed to helping you make informed decisions and guide you through this dynamic process. Below, we provide key insights into what the final quarter of 2024 may look like for Express Entry candidates, and how Pelican Migration Consultants can help you achieve your immigration goals.
Key Trends in Express Entry for 2024
Canada’s Express Entry system has been highly active in 2024. By July, over 88,000 new permanent residents had already been admitted through this system, and the country is on track to surpass its target of welcoming 120,000 permanent residents by the end of the year. With a mix of general and category-specific draws, the third quarter (Q3) saw the highest number of Invitations to Apply (ITAs). As we head into Q4, it’s clear that changes are ahead.
1. Fewer Draws, More Targeted Invites
As we enter Q4 2024, fewer draws are expected compared to the previous quarters. However, the focus will be on more targeted invitations. According to trends from earlier in the year, Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Canada (IRCC) aims to issue around 10,000 ITAs per month in Q4. While this number is smaller compared to Q3, it will still outpace the first half of the year.
Draws in the final quarter are likely to focus on specific categories, with a strong emphasis on the Provincial Nominee Program (PNP) and the Canadian Experience Class (CEC). These programs have remained a priority for the Canadian government, and candidates in these categories are well-positioned to receive invitations. There is also a growing focus on French-speaking candidates and those in high-demand industries like STEM and healthcare. Pelican Migration Consultants can help you assess your eligibility for these specific categories and ensure that you’re prepared for any upcoming draws.
2. Who Will Benefit from Express Entry in Q4?
Several types of candidates are expected to benefit from Express Entry in Q4 2024. Those applying under the Provincial Nominee Program (PNP) will likely see the most opportunities, especially in provinces that are aggressively recruiting skilled workers. Canadian Experience Class (CEC) applicants, particularly those already living and working in Canada as temporary residents, are also in a good position to receive ITAs as Q4 draws aim to facilitate their transition to permanent residency.
If you’re a healthcare or STEM professional, Q4 may offer a few targeted draws in your favor. Additionally, French-speaking candidates are expected to continue receiving invitations as Canada aims to meet its francophone immigration goals. Pelican Migration Consultants can provide tailored guidance to ensure you’re ready for the draws in your specific category.
CRS Score Trends for Q4 2024
One of the most common questions candidates have is about the Comprehensive Ranking System (CRS) score. Will the scores decrease in the last quarter of 2024? Based on current trends, a significant drop in CRS scores is unlikely. For candidates applying through the Canadian Experience Class and Provincial Nominee Program, the CRS score is expected to remain steady, around 510 points.
In French-language draws, the CRS score has hovered around 440 throughout the year, and this trend is expected to continue in Q4. However, small fluctuations in the score may occur depending on the number of applicants. STEM and healthcare professionals might see minimal dips in CRS scores, but these changes will likely be marginal due to high demand in these fields.
At Pelican Migration Consultants, we help candidates improve their CRS scores through strategic advice on skills development, educational credentials, and language proficiency. We provide detailed, customized action plans to help you maximize your chances of receiving an ITA.
What to Expect in 2025 and Beyond
The impact of Q4 2024 Express Entry draws will carry over into 2025. The candidates invited to apply for permanent residency in these final months of 2024 will be among the first to land in Canada as permanent residents in early 2025. Additionally, the upcoming 2025-2027 Immigration Levels Plan, set to be released in November 2024, will offer valuable insights into Canada’s long-term immigration strategy.
The Immigration Levels Plan will outline how many permanent residents Canada plans to admit over the next three years and the breakdown of admission categories. At Pelican Migration Consultants, we stay informed of the latest immigration policies and trends, ensuring that our clients have access to up-to-date information that could impact their immigration journey.
Preparing for Express Entry in Q4 2024
As we approach the end of 2024, fewer, more targeted Express Entry draws will shape the future of Canadian immigration. Candidates in the PNP, CEC, and STEM fields, as well as French-speaking applicants, are likely to see the most opportunities. However, with high demand and stable CRS scores, careful planning and preparation are crucial for success.
Pelican Migration Consultants is here to help you navigate these trends and ensure that you are well-positioned for success in the final months of 2024. Whether you need assistance with improving your CRS score, submitting a complete application, or understanding your eligibility for specific draws, our team of experts is ready to guide you through the process.
Why Choose Pelican Migration Consultants?
At Pelican Migration Consultants, we are committed to providing personalized support for every step of your immigration journey. Our experienced consultants understand the nuances of Canada’s immigration system and stay up to date on the latest developments to provide you with the best possible advice.
With tailored services and a client-focused approach, we help you maximize your chances of success, whether you are applying for Express Entry, Provincial Nominee Programs, or other immigration streams. Contact us today to schedule a consultation and take the next step towards achieving your Canadian dream.
Conclusion
The last quarter of 2024 holds many opportunities for candidates in the Express Entry pool. Fewer draws, but more targeted invitations, will define the end of the year, with a focus on PNP, CEC, STEM professionals, and French speakers. Staying informed and working with an experienced consultancy like Pelican Migration Consultants can make all the difference in achieving your permanent residency goals.
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)
- What is the likelihood of the CRS score dropping in Q4 2024?
It is unlikely that the CRS score will drop significantly in Q4 2024. For Canadian Experience Class (CEC) and Provincial Nominee Program (PNP) applicants, the CRS score is expected to remain around 510 points. French-language and STEM draws may see slight fluctuations, but these changes are anticipated to be minimal. - Will there be fewer Express Entry draws in Q4 2024?
Yes, the number of draws is expected to decrease in Q4 compared to earlier quarters. However, these draws will be more targeted, focusing on specific categories such as PNP, CEC, STEM professionals, and French-speaking candidates. - How can Pelican Migration Consultants help improve my CRS score?
Pelican Migration Consultants offers strategic advice on improving your CRS score by assessing your qualifications, language proficiency, and work experience. We provide personalized guidance on how to enhance your profile to increase your chances of receiving an ITA. - What should I expect from the 2025-2027 Immigration Levels Plan?
The 2025-2027 Immigration Levels Plan will outline Canada’s immigration targets for the next three years. The plan is expected to be released in November 2024 and will provide insight into the number of new permanent residents Canada plans to admit, along with specific focus areas for immigration. - Can I still receive an ITA if my CRS score is below 500?
Yes, it is possible to receive an ITA with a CRS score below 500, especially in targeted draws for French-speaking candidates or specific occupational groups like healthcare and STEM professionals. Pelican Migration Consultants can help you explore alternative pathways, such as the PNP, to increase your chances of receiving an invitation.
